Wave count – Nasdaq 100

May 4, 2009

5-4-qqqq-wave-countLooking for an irregular terminal pattern C wave – $35 to $36 is inflection zone.  Overlap prevents the C wave from being classified as impulsive.  If correct, this count doesn’t mean that the bear market necessarily has to resume.   This could merely be an A wave of a larger flat or triangle.  I do have a more traditional diagonal alternate, but time proportions don’t favor that count in my eyes.  Getting stopped out a few times before catching  the next down wave should be viewed as operating expenses.  Stop loss will keep those expenses low.  Also, below I have posted an impulsive variant.  Depending upon which waves are classified as “hidden threes” creates the variance.  I don’t like the time dimensions of the large 2 wave on the impulsive count.  However, this would come as quite a shock to a lot of people if it were the case.  In a wave 2 scenario, the public would feel like; “here we go again”, which would seem reasonable should the next wave start retracing.

11:40 AM

Updated @ 12:40 PM

qqqq-5-4-impulsive-variant

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1 Comment Add your own

  • 1. Market shenanigans « Traderpro’s Weblog  |  May 20, 2009 at 5:00 am

    [...] for this current pattern, making it a triple three.  The two zigzags labeled in the last count here, leading up to the predicted current move to the downside, which may be the second X wave before a [...]

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Email: trader_pro_FW@yahoo.com AIM: Traderpro88
My analysis utilizes fractal analysis, Fibonacci cycles, Fibonacci expansions, Fibonacci retracements, Market sentiment, and Elliott Wave analysis. I am constantly looking for new methodologies and ideas. I watch US stocks and indexes primarily. I hope you enjoy the site.
Fractal charts are not usual Elliott progress labels. These charts are intended to depict general repeating randomness, if you will. I will post Elliott Wave counts as well as fractals.

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