May 4th prediction follow up…

May 13, 2009

The Nasdaq-100 ETF is down 5% since the top prediction on May 4th.  I expected $35 or possibly the $35-$36 zone to be the topping area for the complex corrective wave or impulsive wave upwards.  I believe $35.20 was the mark.  Put options are up huge; profits should be trailed or monitored if not already taken, or partially taken and trailed.  How will we know if this was the impulsive or corrective variant?  By the current retracement, if it persists.  Of course, the basic rules of EW state that W1 cannot be retraced by more than 100% by W2, so that will be a clue.  Otherwise price action and sentiment will guide market observations.  The $vix appears to be moving up off the level posted in the May 8th post.

3:34 PM

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Email: trader_pro_FW@yahoo.com AIM: Traderpro88
My analysis utilizes fractal analysis, Fibonacci cycles, Fibonacci expansions, Fibonacci retracements, Market sentiment, and Elliott Wave analysis. I am constantly looking for new methodologies and ideas. I watch US stocks and indexes primarily. I hope you enjoy the site.
Fractal charts are not usual Elliott progress labels. These charts are intended to depict general repeating randomness, if you will. I will post Elliott Wave counts as well as fractals.

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